Filed under: Texans, AFC South, NFL Predictions, NFL Analysis

FanHouse’s 2010 NFL Season Preview features division-by-division predictions based on our tried and true “Heat Index” formula. Each team is graded on a scale of 1-10 (10 being highest) in five key categories: Offense, Defense, Special Teams, Coaching and Intangibles. The higher the score, the better we think the team will be this season. Coming Sept. 6: NFC South
Make the playoffs. It’s the standard goal of any NFL franchise — once you’re in the tournament, anything can happen — but for the Houston Texans it would be a monumental milestone. The Texans, who joined the league as an expansion club in 2002, have yet to experience postseason play, but entering Coach Gary Kubiak’s fifth season they’re inching in the right direction. The 9-7 record of 2009 was the first winning mark in the club’s eight-year history, though achieving it took four straight victories to end the season (three against losing teams, the last against a New England squad that had clinched its division). Baby steps, baby. Now it’s time for one big giant step into January, but it will likely take a winning record in the AFC West. Whoops! The Texans have never done that either, finishing 1-5 vs division foes in ‘09.
Offense: Moving the ball for the Texans isn’t the problem; doing it with balance is. Quarterback Matt Schaub and wide receiver Andre Johnson have become as dangerous a combination as there is in the league. In his first completely healthy season, Schaub completed 68 percent of his passes for 4,770 yards, 29 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. Johnson, meanwhile, has blossomed into one of the game’s most explosive wideouts. In ‘09, he caught 101 passes for a league-high 1,569 yards and nine TDs. Kevin Walters isn’t nearly as explosive on the other side, but he’s reliable when healthy, and tight end Owen Daniel, coming off a season-ending knee injury, is another rising star. Daniel had 40 catches and five TDs through eight games when he got hurt. Given their passing game, imagine if the Texans could run the ball. Last season, Houston finished 30th in rushing offense (92.2 yards per game), with Steve Slaton leading all ball carriers with a measly 437 yards. Rookie second-round pick Ben Tate could have made a difference, but the former Auburn star was lost for the season during training camp with an ankle injury. New offensive coordinator Rick Dennison, who replaced Kyle Shannon (now with his father in Washington), has to keep the passing game lethal and jumpstart Slaton and the running game to keep defenses on their toes. Heat Index: 7
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